The Obama administration unveiled their plan for creating an agency to regulate the financial products offered to consumers. Measures from the government to attempt to protect consumers from products leading to unfair or deceptive lending are not novel. But this agency hopes to take consumer protection a step further by intensifying such efforts and promoting access to financial products as well. I applaud the administration's desire to protect consumers but wonder if its dual purpose will lead to internal conflict.
Let's start with the good. This new agency will implement and enforce new transparency standards for consumer lending. That's important. Even the most brazen of free marketers will have trouble arguing that clarity and simplicity are not valid goals for regulations. If individuals do not have full, clear and accurate information, markets cannot work.
How does the government plan to reach that goal? The government tried to achieve clarity with the truth-in-lending disclosure. It did little good with wacky mortgage products. For that reason, the government will reduce the freedom of lenders to create complex products. Instead, it intends to promote guidelines for "Plain Vanilla" products.
Regulating away complex lender practices is a little more controversial than simply providing clearer disclosure language, but Washington feels it has broad support for such measures. Less complexity will prevent lenders from being as innovative with their financial products. That means tighter credit. This might be seen as a negative, but tighter credit is not necessarily a bad thing, given the nation's addiction.
A statement about the new agency released by Senator Dodd explains their philosophy:
The Administration is addressing the colossal failures that led to the economic crisis with a bold and aggressive plan. Creating an independent agency whose sole focus is protecting consumers - be it credit card holders, anyone with a bank account, or families with mortgages or student loans - is really the key to creating the foundations for a stronger economy.
That's true if you believe that most homeowners who defaulted on subprime mortgages were taken advantage of. I'm skeptical. I think the majority were probably guilty of drinking the same kool-aid that Wall Street was chugging: they thought the housing market and economy were in the clear, so it would all work out in the end.
But even if you do believe that most homeowners with questionable mortgage products were swindled, would the new agency really have helped? Some additional color from the New York Times might imply otherwise:
The proposal would also give the agency the power to restrict or prohibit "unfair and deceptive practices" and it would enforce existing laws against discrimination. The agency would be in charge of enforcing the Community Reinvestment Act, a law that prods banks to make loans in low-income communities.
Lenders certainly shouldn't discriminate based on characteristics like race, sex or sexual orientation. But they absolutely should discriminate against people who cannot afford the loans they seek. That's called having underwriting standards.
Yet, this same agency meant to protect consumers might also coerce banks to provide loans to consumers who cannot afford them. Isn't that part of what got us into the subprime mess in the first place? I'm not one of those who believe the CRA deserves all of the blame for the subprime debacle. Yet, I find it hard to refute that it played some part.
In any case, consumer lenders have one kernel of good news: this new agency won't get off the ground anytime soon. They'll have plenty of time to brace themselves. Also from the Times article:
The House Financial Services Committee is expected to take up the bill as soon as Congress returns from its Fourth of July recess, and the committee chairman, Representative Barney Frank of Massachusetts, is broadly in favor. But the House is not expected to vote on the bill until this fall, and the Senate is expected to move even more slowly.











As always, wishing you'd do some research before posting...
Here's the Fed's position on CRA's role in the housing bubble:
“I can state very definitively that, from the research we have done, that the Community Reinvestment Act is not one of the causes of the current crisis,”
-- Sandra Braunstein, Director of the Division of Consumer and Community Affairs of the Federal Reserve System, before House Financial Services Committee, March 11, 2009
Now maybe this isn't worth as much because it's based on research as opposed to just idle speculation, but it seems like the Fed has plenty of data and no ax to grind so maybe they should be given some deference.
More information on the Fed's comprehensive study that led to the above conclusion here: http://www.frbsf.org/publications/community/cra/index.html
There are quite a few intelligent people who refute that report. Here's one:
http://www.businessinsider.com/the-cra-debate-a-users-guide-2009-6
I'm not one who think's the CRA caused everything, but I also find it hard to believe -- no matter what the Fed says -- that it didn't played a part, even indirectly if not directly.
For those that refute the report, let it be noted that CRA applies to banks, not the mortgage lenders that were originating many of the subprime loans.
I admire John Carney's willingness to put his money where his mouth is, but as best I can tell from the econ blogosphere's reaction to his post, his managed to convince exactly nobody who wasn't already a believer.
And that makes sense because, at bottom, his argument makes no sense. One of the greatest pieces of evidence that CRA isn't to blame is that all through the bubble's buildup and bursting, CRA mortgages have defaulted at lower rates than non-CRA mortgages. How does Carney explain this? By saying it proves how completely CRA loans had spread to the broader market. That makes no sense.
The simplest version of the Fed's case comes from a couple of simple truths from the data: CRA loans defaulted at lower rates than non-CRA loans. CRA-subject institutions' (read: banks) mortgages defaulted at lower rates than mortgages underwritten by institutions not subject to CRA (read: mortgage brokers). Regardless of what your philosophical predisposition is, if you're going to put the blame at CRA's feet, you need to explain why the regulation seems to be helping default rates instead of hurting them.
As for more complete rebuttals of Carney, I'll leave that to any of the number of prominent econobloggers who've responded to his post. However, I take issue with the idea that Carney "refute[d] that report." Carney doesn't refute the Fed. He ignores it. He provides no data of his own. He does no original research. I'm not aware of any actual researchers who challenge the Fed's data or its conclusions. Carney may have changed his mind, but it doesn't seem to be based on any new evidence, and I can't even tell that he's aware of the most definitive study of the topic.
Also, with history as a guide, why would anyone think for a fraction of a second this new agency will be remotely effective? I don't even know where to start...
+ "...would enforce existing regulations/rules..." wtf why aren't they ALREADY being enforced by those tasked with doing so?
+ As with all regulation/enforcement, this will just create new and/or exacerbate existing arbitrage opportunities, and encourage innovation, you know, like the kid that spawned various complex mortgages. Funny, then, that one of the goals of this new agency is to discourage them...
I could go on and on (and on...) but this is just silliness, not that I'm surprised, of course, sigh...
The key to "enforcement of existing rules" is the application.
As stated, the key players in the "crisis" were the mortgage brokers that originated the subprime loans. The existing rules could not be enforced unless they sold the loan, and then only the bank that bought the loan could be cited.
The new Consumer Agency would apply the required documentation and penalties to those that *were* outside the regulatory framework.
To the other enforcement point. CRA does not require any financial institution to make an unsafe and unsound loan, thus it protects underwriting practices.
This is like the 19th version of blaming the Community Revinvestment Act that has been floated. At some point, people are going to have to get their facts right before writing this stuff. Even if it is opinion.