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Aug 17 2009, 12:15 pm

Would GM's New $4,000 Car Sell in the US?

For years, General Motors made its mark selling domesticated tanks that required a surgeon's exacting touch and focus to keep the axles between the road hash marks. OK, so the Hummer wasn't that bad, but it close. Now, however, GM has announced it's unveiling its cheapest car ever. The inspiration, or competition, comes from India, where the Tata Nano -- an adorable slab of car with a base price of under $3000 -- is putting auto makers on the notice that the race to the bottom in car prices is on.

GM says the car will likely and the company would like to begin production in Asia, since the market for extremely tiny cars in the United States is currently about the size of the Tata Nano. That's OK though, say GM officials, since two-thirds of car sales come from outside the United States anyway.

But could this car sell in the States? Not right now, I'd say. As our guest writer "Anal_yst" pointed out in this excellent post, the market share of small cars has done nothing but plummet in the last 30 years. Here's the graph he compiled:
automyth1.png On the other hand, I should point out that of the 10 most popular cars bought through the Cash for Clunkers program, only one was an SUV. Leading the C4C purchase pack was the diminutive Ford Focus, followed by a raft of small, fuel-efficient cars produced in Asia. So it's possible that we're bending that curve you see above. Either way, it's nice to see GM trying to compete with emerging market auto makers, because it tells me that somebody is serious about making GM an auto company that's thinking globally and long term.

Comments (3)

Unfortunately, the author is pretty wrong about what people bought with C4C. The gov't cooked the books by dividing up a lot of not so efficient vehicles into sub classes while not dividing up efficient ones.

Normally, vehicles are grouped by product name, like Ford F150, when reporting sales. The gov't. divided F150 into something like 5 different categories - reducing its reported numbers.

Edmunds.com researched it and came up with different results - which the gov't. did not dispute. Here were the results when normal sales reporting was done.

1 Ford Escape
2 Ford Focus
3 Jeep Patriot
4 Dodge Caliber
5 Ford F-150
6 Honda Civic
7 Chevrolet Silverado
8 Chevrolet Cobalt
9 Toyota Corolla
10 Ford Fusion

While more efficient cars did well, one cuv led the pack while pickups were #5 and 7.
http://money.cnn.com/2009/08/07/autos/cash_for_clunkers_sales/index.htm

As for a cheap little cars selling here, the author ignores gov't. vehicle requirements in the US that greatly increase auto cost. They include both environmental and safety regs. For instance, a modern VW Rabbit, wighs more than 1000 lbs more that one form 1975 and gets worse mileage. Most of that weigh is safety regs. Of course, that added weight, requires more horspower but also has to meet environmental rules - thus increasing the cost even more. Places like India and China have no requirements, thus can have lower vehicle costs.