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Oct 7 2009, 11:50 am

The Secret Plan to Build a Republican Bill Clinton

The Republican Party's 2010 plan has been compared to a "political murder-suicide," but murder-suicide is a oxymoron in a zero-sum two-party system where one's loss is always the other's gain. Transforming your party into a Democratic hit-man squad might be good politics, but it's a rotten way to nurture new ideas about public policy.

But some Republicans thinking long-term about 2012 are seeing flashes of 1992, when a smooth triangulating moderate Democrat named William reinvented his party as the country emerged from a recession. What would it take to build a RepubliClinton?

Bruce Bartlett has some ideas in this NYT article. They appear to be, in order: 1) Tax cuts are not to public policy as the number 42 is to the universe; 2) The GOP should encourage shrinking government programs like Medicare; 3) Republicans should support a value-added tax on consumption to help pay down the deficit. Those might all be fine policy ideas but in a national political election I imagine the platform "Fewer Services! More Taxes! Sustainable Government for All!" will be about as popular as the platform "Fewer Cavities! More Drilling! Mandatory Quarterly Dentist Visits for All!"

I tried my hand at designing a Republican Clinton a few months ago. Where could a decently conservative candidate deviate from the hard right? Perhaps on education, by embracing student loan reform and a national test standard, while trumpeting district innovation and school choice. On the environment, a conservative coming out for a low carbon tax as an alternative to government-allocated carbon caps could position himself as an out-of-the-box thinker who's read both the The Weath of Nations and Silent Spring.

But the problem that Bartlett identifies is that on the biggest issue -- too much spending, not enough revenue -- there is no silver bullet. Cutting spending is very unpopular. Raising taxes is very unpopular. And when a country like ours has elections every two years, 'very unpopular' turns into 'voted out of office' very soon. It's just so much easier to go for the short-term political kill than build something lasting. American politics is jerry-rigged to reward parties that see themselves as big swinging wrecking balls, not cranes.

Comments (3)

It's worth remembering that Clinton might have lost if not for Perot. Perot's campaign was against big corrupt government. That type of voter is more likely to vote Republican.

I was one of those Perot voters - as protest against more of the same in DC. If not for Perot I would have voted for Bush, as the lesser of 2 liberal evils.

Clinton ran a bit like Obama - by obfuscating and lying about his true intentions. Clinton immediately went all out liberal upon taking office and the result was the 1994 Republican takeover of Congress.

Republicans can and should absolutely support a small, revenue-neutral carbon tax. They are straightforward, transparent, incentivize green R&D AND return the revenue to the people--a far superior alternative to a fatally-flawed cap and trade system.

TWO WORDS.... FAIR TAX